We’ve teamed up with BAM Weather meteorologists to bring you a detailed, region-specific weather report for spring 2025. This report isn't just a forecast; it's a helpful tool to make smart choices for your farm. Each month, you’ll get a regional weather analysis, including precipitation, temperature trends and agronomic insights to help guide your planning.

Soil Moisture & Precipitation Rankings

Soil Moisture
Here is a look at the top 3 feet (100 cm) of soil moisture (in terms of percentiles) for this time of year. Key observations include the majority of the Midwest/Central US continuing to remain in the bottom 20th percentile (very dry) of soil moisture, with increasing dryness into the Southeast US. Areas of note seeing better soil moisture in the top 20th percentile (wet soil) include the Pacific Northwest and the Northeast US.

Precipitation Rankings
Here is a look at our severe weather outlook for Early/Mid April. The Central Plains down through the SE US will see the most active corridor of damaging winds, large hail, and tornadic risk. The above normal risk of severe weather will also continue across the OH/TN Valley’s as well. This is persistent with our thinking of an active severe weather pattern in these regions through Spring.

Early April Temperature & Precipitation Outlook

Temperature
Here is the temperature forecast for the first half of April. The first half of this timeframe will see above normal temperatures win out across the Central/Eastern with subtle cold fronts working through the area. The second half will look to see more sustained above/much above normal temperatures. Although more sustained warmth, the High Plains, Great Lakes, and Upper Midwest can still see sneaky frost/freeze risks. Areas that can remain more seasonal to below normal will be along both the East and West Coast.

Precipitation
Precip for the early/middle parts of April will be focused through the Central US/Midwest with multiple storm systems/rain opportunities to start off the month. This active pattern will stretch through the Pacific Northwest as well. Areas looking to remain below normal precip wise for this period will be the East Coast, Southern US, and SW US/Rockies.

April Temperature & Precipitation Outlook

Temperature
Looking ahead to April as a whole, the above-normal temperatures from the first half of the month will gradually be suppressed into the southern tier of the US to end the month. This will allow for more seasonal temperatures across the NE US, Great Lakes, and Northern Plains with above normal temperatures in the southern two-thirds. The most prominent warmth will be seen in the Southwest/South-Central US.

Precipitation
Precipitation for the month of April will be prevalent across the Midwest/Great Lakes. The more active corridor will shift further East to end the month of April, leading the South-Central US to average out below normal and the inner NE US to average out near/slightly above normal. Continued drought concerns in the Northern Plains make drier concerns a risk due to persistency. The Southern US overall will end up below normal precip wise.

Model Predictions & Summer Weather Outlook

Model Predictions
As we work into the heart of spring, we continue to watch the evolution of El Nino / La Nina. The majority of the data is settling between the Black and Red lines, signaling a cool neutral/weak La Nina. This progression of the “ENSO” cycle would favor a gradual shift of the more active corridor of precipitation from the Northern to the Eastern US from Spring into Summer. During this timeframe, it also allows for above to much above normal temperatures to gradually expand and become more prominent in the Central/Western US.

Summer Temperature
Above is our preliminary Summer temp forecast (June, July, August). Above to much above normal temperatures will be the theme across the Central/Western US for the Summer months. The start of Summer (June) will see below normal temperatures across the Eastern/Southeastern US before warmer temperatures become more persistent to end Summer. The East Coast/Southeast US will be one of the few areas to average out near normal..

Summer Precipitation Outlook

Summer Precipitation
The preliminary Summer forecast for precipitation favors above normal precipitation chances throughout the Summer Months across the Eastern third of the US and into the Southwest US. Below normal precipitation will continue across the Central US and through the NW US for the Summer months, with the most prominent dryness being seen across the Upper Midwest. While there can be some relief to be closer to normal to end summer, June and July will look to have little to no consistent rainfall opportunities.

Drought Concerns
With the above temperature and precipitation outlooks through Summer, drought concerns continue to remain across the Central US and especially the Upper Midwest as we move into planting/growing season. More consistent high pressure across the area will allow for more active precipitation patterns to lie into the Eastern Ag Belt and SE US with the Central US/Western Ag Belt having a difficult time to see persistent opportunities of widespread rain systems.

About the Report:

This report isn't just a forecast; it's a helpful tool to make informed decisions for your farm. As a member of ForGround by Bayer, you'll get a weather forecast just like this delivered straight to your inbox every month. Plus, no matter where you are on your regenerative agriculture journey, with ForGround, you will gain year-round access to science-based agronomic support, insights, and discounts, and will be the first to know when new potential revenue streams arise.

Did you know? ForGround members can now claim an exclusive 20% discount on a BAM Weather Clarity Starter or Clarity Pro subscription for one year. Learn more