We’ve teamed up with BAM Weather meteorologists to bring you a detailed, region-specific weather report for mid-spring 2025. This report isn't just a forecast; it's a helpful tool to make smart choices for your farm. Each month, you’ll get a regional weather analysis, including precipitation, temperature trends and agronomic insights to help guide your planning.

Soil Moisture & Precipitation Rankings

Soil Moisture
Here is a look at the top 3 feet (100 cm) of soil moisture (in terms of percentiles) for this time of year. Key observations include the majority of the Central/Northern Plains remaining in the bottom 20th percentile (very dry) of soil moisture, with more sporadic dryness into the Southeast US. Areas of note seeing better soil moisture in the top 20th percentile (wet soil) stretch from E OK through the TN/OH Valleys due to heavy rain late March/early April.

Precipitation Rankings
Here is a look at precipitation rankings since March 1st. Heavier rain systems working across the Eastern Ag Belt has led to some of the wettest March/April’s stretching from the South Central US through the OH Valley/Great Lakes. On the flip side, precip has been hard to come by in a widespread nature across the the Central/Northern Plains and through the East Coast, leading to drier than normal conditions for this period compared to normal.

Early May Temperature & Precipitation Outlook

Temperature
Here is the temperature forecast for the first half of May. The first half of this timeframe will see sustained above/much above normal temperatures win out across the Central US and stretch to include the OH Valley/Southeast US. Additional cool shots will be possible behind systems across the Great Lakes, NE US, and Mid-Atlantic allowing for the East Coast to average out seasonal/below normal. This can also allow for late-season frost/freeze in these areas.

Precipitation
Precip for the early/middle parts of May will be focused across the Northern US along with the South Central US seeing some much needed rain opportunities. Additional rain chances in the Central Plains will need to be watched for wetter trends in this timeframe. High pressure setting up across the SE US will allow for below normal precip and more sustained dry gaps/planting windows in the SE US through the Lower OH Valley.

May Temperature & Precipitation Outlook

Temperature
Looking ahead to May as a whole, above normal temperatures will gradually expand eastward/northward, allowing for much of the country to average out warmer than normal. Areas that can see temperatures average out closer to seasonal/below normal with cooler air working in mid/late month includes the SE US and the NW US.

Precipitation
Looking at May overall, the most active corridor will eventually be suppressed into the Northern US by the end of the month, allowing for the Great Lakes, NE US, and the Upper OH Valley to see above normal precip chances. Drier conditions will gradually work further north throughout the month of May, allowing for below normal precipitation across much of the US.

Model Predictions & Summer Weather Outlook

Model Predictions
As we work into the heart of spring, we continue to watch the evolution of El Nino / La Nina. The majority of the data is settling between the Black and Red lines, signaling a cool neutral/weak La Nina. This progression of the “ENSO” cycle would favor the most active corridor of precipitation to gradually shift from the Northern to the Eastern US as we work into Summer. During this timeframe, it also allows for above to much above normal temperatures to gradually expand and become more prominent in the Central/Western US.

Summer Temperature
The picture above is our updated Summer temp forecast (June, July, August). Above to much above normal temperatures will still be the theme across the Central/Western US for the Summer months. We are noting cooler signals across the SE US/Mid-Atlantic to start the period (June) and to end the period (August), which is allowing for these areas to average out seasonal/slightly below normal for the summer overall.

Summer Precipitation Outlook

Summer Precipitation
The current Summer forecast for precipitation favors above normal precipitation chances throughout the Summer months across the East Coast and the Southeast US. Below/much below normal precipitation will be the theme throughout this period across the Central US and NW US, with the most prominent dryness in the Central/Northern Plains. Areas in the OH Valley/Great Lakes will see better rain opportunities to start the Summer before gradually becoming drier throughout the period.

Drought Concerns
Drought concerns are still a big risk getting into the summer months across the Central US with the already dry conditions and the warm/dry forecast over the coming months. Highest drought concerns look to lie across the Central Plains and into the South Central US. What we are keeping an eye on is the risk of the storm tracks/patterns this summer. While the majority of rain/storm tracks will be further North into the Canadian Prairies (Black Line), some storm tracks can bleed further south (Red Line) and allow for some relief into the Northern Plains.

About the Report:

This report isn't just a forecast; it's a helpful tool to make informed decisions for your farm. As a member of ForGround by Bayer, you'll get a weather forecast just like this delivered straight to your inbox every month. Plus, no matter where you are on your regenerative agriculture journey, with ForGround, you will gain year-round access to science-based agronomic support, insights, and discounts, and will be the first to know when new potential revenue streams arise.

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